¡Ö¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯³ÈÂç¤Ë¶¨ÎϤ¹¤ë¤È¤â¤¦¤«¤ë¡×¤¬¿¨¤ì¹þ¤ß¤ÎWeb3¥×¥é¥Ã¥È¥Õ¥©¡¼¥à¡ÖHelium¡×¤ÏËÜÅö¤Ë¤â¤¦¤«¤ë¤Î¤«¡©
Helium¤Ï¡¢Peer to Peer(P2P)¤Ç¹½ÃÛ¤µ¤ì¤¿IoT¸þ¤±¥ï¥¤¥ä¥ì¥¹¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤ò¥Ù¡¼¥¹¤Ë¤·¤¿¥Ö¥í¥Ã¥¯¥Á¥§¡¼¥ó¥×¥é¥Ã¥È¥Õ¥©¡¼¥à¤Ç¡¢¥Ö¥í¥Ã¥¯¥Á¥§¡¼¥ó¤Ë´ð¤Å¤¯Ê¬»¶·¿¥ª¥ó¥é¥¤¥ó¥¨¥³¥·¥¹¥Æ¥à¤Ç¤¢¤ëWeb3¥×¥é¥Ã¥È¥Õ¥©¡¼¥à¤Î°ìÎã¤È¤·¤ÆÃΤé¤ì¤Æ¤¤¤Þ¤¹¡£Helium¤ÏÀìÍѵ¡´ï¤òÀßÃÖ¤·¤Æ¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤Î³ÈÂç¤ò¼ê½õ¤±¤¹¤ë¤È¡¢HNT¥È¡¼¥¯¥ó¤È¸Æ¤Ð¤ì¤ë²¾ÁÛÄ̲ߤ¬¤â¤é¤¨¤ë¤È¤¤¤¦¤³¤È¤Ç°ìÉô¤ÎÅê»ñ²È¤ËÃíÌܤµ¤ì¤Æ¤¤¤Þ¤¹¤¬¡¢¤½¤Î¼ÂÂ֤ˤĤ¤¤ÆÅê»ñ²È¤ÎLiron Shapira»á¤¬Twitter¤Ç¼è¤ê¾å¤²¤Æ¤¤¤Þ¤¹¡£
.@Helium, often cited as one of the best examples of a Web3 use case, has received $365M of investment led by @a16z.
Regular folks have also been convinced to spend $250M buying hotspot nodes, in hopes of earning passive income.
The result? Helium's total revenue is $6.5k/month pic.twitter.com/PyW6KPllvc— Liron Shapira (@liron) July 26, 2022
Helium¤Î¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤Ï¡ÖHotspot¡×¤È¸Æ¤Ð¤ì¤ëÄã¾ÃÈñÅÅÎϤÎ̵Àþ¥ë¡¼¥¿¡¼¤Ç¹½ÃÛ¤µ¤ì¤Þ¤¹¡£¥æ¡¼¥¶¡¼¤Ï¤³¤ÎHelium Hotspot¤ò¹ØÆþ¤·¤Æ¼«Âð¤ä¿¦¾ì¤ÎWi-Fi¤ËÀܳ¤·¡¢¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤ò¶¦Í¤·¤Þ¤¹¡£Hotspot¤Ï¼þ°ÏºÇÂç26km¤ò¥«¥Ð¡¼¤Ç¤¡¢¶á¤¯¤Ë¤¢¤ëHotspot¤ÈÀܳ¤·¤Æ¡¢LoRaWAN¥×¥í¥È¥³¥ë¤ËÂбþ¤·¤¿Æȼ«¤Î¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤ò¹½ÃÛ²Äǽ¡£¤µ¤é¤Ë¥Ö¥í¥Ã¥¯¥Á¥§¡¼¥óµ»½Ñ¤òÁȤ߹ç¤ï¤»¡¢Hotspot¤òÀßÃÖ¤·¤¿¥æ¡¼¥¶¡¼¤ËHNT¥È¡¼¥¯¥ó¤òÍ¿¤¨¤Þ¤¹¡£
Shapira»á¤Ë¤è¤ì¤Ð¡¢Helium¤Ï¤¹¤Ç¤Ë3²¯6500Ëü¥É¥ë(Ìó500²¯±ß)¤ÎÅê»ñ¤ò½¸¤á¤Æ¤¤¤ë¤È¤Î¤³¤È¡£¤½¤·¤Æ¡¢Hotspot¤òÀßÃÖ¤¹¤ì¤Ð¤¹¤ë¤Û¤ÉHNT¥È¡¼¥¯¥ó¤ò¤â¤é¤¨¤ë¤È¤Î¿¨¤ì¹þ¤ß¤Ç¡¢Hotspot¤Ï2²¯5000Ëü¥É¥ë(Ìó342²¯±ß)¤òÇä¤ê¾å¤²¤¿¤È¸«¹þ¤Þ¤ì¤Æ¤¤¤Þ¤¹¡£¤·¤«¤·¡¢2022ǯ6·î¤ËÇÛÉÛ¤µ¤ì¤¿HNT¥È¡¼¥¯¥ó¤Ï¡¢¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯Á´ÂΤÇ6500¥É¥ë(Ìó89Ëü±ß)ÄøÅÙ¤À¤Ã¤¿¤½¤¦¤Ç¤¹¡£
¥ª¥ó¥é¥¤¥ó·Ç¼¨ÈÄ¥µ¥¤¥È¡¦Reddit¤Îr/helium¤Ç¤Ï¡¢Helium¤ËÅê»ñ¤·¤¿¿Í¤Ï400¥É¥ë(Ìó5Ëü4000±ß)¡Á800¥É¥ë(Ìó11Ëü±ß)¤òHotspot¤Î¹ØÆþ¤ËÈñ¤ä¤·¤Æ¤ª¤ê¡¢·î100¥É¥ë(Ìó1Ëü3700±ß)¤Û¤É¤Î¼ýÆþ¤¬¤¢¤ë¤³¤È¤ò´üÂÔ¤µ¤ì¤Æ¤¤¤¿¤È¤Î¤³¤È¡£¤·¤«¤·¡¢¼ÂÂ֤ϡ¢1¿ÍÅö¤¿¤ê¤Î¼ýÆþ¤Ï·î20¥É¥ë(Ìó2700±ß)ÄøÅÙ¤À¤Ã¤¿¤½¤¦¤Ç¤¹
Members of the r/helium subreddit have been increasingly vocal about seeing poor Helium returns.
On average, they spent $400-800 to buy a hotspot. They were expecting $100/month, enough to recoup their costs and enjoy passive income.
Then their earnings dropped to only $20/mo. pic.twitter.com/0jx2zLUaiA— Liron Shapira (@liron) July 26, 2022
¤·¤«¤â¡¢Shapira»á¤Ë¤è¤ë¤È¡¢¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤ÎÀµÅö¤ÊÊ󽷤Ϸî0.01¥É¥ë(Ìó1.3±ß)¤Ç¡¢»Ä¤ê¤Ï¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤ÎÀ®Ä¹¤Ø¤ÎÅê»ñ¤ÈHNT¥È¡¼¥¯¥ó¤ÎÁê¾ì¤Ë¤è¤ë°ì»þŪ¤ÊÍø±×¤À¤È¤Î¤³¤È¡£
These folks maintain false hope of positive ROI. They still don¡Çt realize their share of data-usage revenue isn¡Çt actually $20/month; it¡Çs $0.01/month.
The other $19.99 is a temporary subsidy from investment in growing the network, and speculation on the value of the token. pic.twitter.com/UNxGSmHJme— Liron Shapira (@liron) July 26, 2022
°ìÊý¤Ç¡¢Helium¤ò±¿±Ä¤¹¤ëNova Labs¤Ï¡¢Åê»ñ²È¤«¤é1ǯ¤Ç3²¯¥É¥ë(Ìó410²¯±ß)¤ò½¸¤á¤Æ¤¤¤ë¤ÈShapira»á¤Ï»ØŦ¡£Helium¤Ï3²¯¥É¥ë¤â½¸¤á¤Ê¤¬¤éÅê»ñ²È¤Ë·î6500¥É¥ë¤·¤«´Ô¸µ¤µ¤ì¤Ê¤¤¥Ý¥ó¥¸¡¦¥¹¥¡¼¥à¤Ë¶á¤¤¥Ó¥¸¥Í¥¹¤Ë¤Ê¤Ã¤Æ¤·¤Þ¤Ã¤Æ¤¤¤ë¤è¤¦¤Ç¤¹¡£
Meanwhile, according to Helium network rules, $300M (30M ) per year gets siphoned off by @novalabs_, the corporation behind Helium.
This "revenue" on the books, which comes mainly from retail speculators, is presumably what justified such an aggressive investment by @a16z.— Liron Shapira (@liron) July 26, 2022
·ë¶É¤Î¤È¤³¤í¡¢Helium¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤ÏIoT¸þ¤±¤Î¥ï¥¤¥ä¥ì¥¹¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤È¤·¤Æ´üÂԤϤµ¤ì¤Æ¤¤¤¿¤â¤Î¤Î¡¢¼ÂºÝ¤Ï¼ûÍפ¬¤¢¤Þ¤ê¤Ë¤âÄ㤤¤¿¤á¡¢¤¿¤È¤¨Helium¤Ë50Ëü´ð°Ê¾å¤ÎHotspot¤¬¤¢¤Ã¤¿¤È¤·¤Æ¤â¼ý±×¤ÏÆÀ¤é¤ì¤Ê¤¤¤È¤Î¤³¤È¡£·ë¶É¤Î¤È¤³¤í¡¢¥È¡¼¥¯¥ó¤È¤¤¤¦¥¤¥ó¥»¥ó¥Æ¥£¥Ö¤¬ÆÀ¤é¤ì¤Ê¤±¤ì¤Ð¥æ¡¼¥¶¡¼¤Î¥â¥Á¥Ù¡¼¥·¥ç¥ó¤Ë¤Ä¤Ê¤¬¤é¤º¡¢¤³¤³¤«¤éHelium¤¬Â礤¯À®Ä¹¤¹¤ë²ÄǽÀ¤Ï¤Û¤Ü¤Ê¤¤¤È¤¤¤¨¤Þ¤¹¡£¤½¤Î¤¿¤á¡¢Helium¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤ËÂФ·¤Æ¥¨¥ó¥É¥æ¡¼¥¶¡¼¤Î¼ûÍפ¬¤Ê¤¤¤³¤È¤ÏͽÁÛ²Äǽ¤Ç¤¢¤ê¡¢¥ï¥¤¥ä¥ì¥¹¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯»Ô¾ì¤òʬÀϤ·¤Æ¤â¡¢¡ÖHelium¥Í¥Ã¥È¥ï¡¼¥¯¤Î¼ûÍפϹâ¤Þ¤ë¤À¤í¤¦¡×¤È¤¤¤¦Í½Áۤϴ°Á´¤Ë¸ØÄ¥¤µ¤ì¤¿²²Â¬¤Ç¤·¤«¤Ê¤¤¤ÈShapira»á¤Ïɾ²Á¤·¤Æ¤¤¤Þ¤¹¡£
.@cdixon's "mental model" thread on Helium claims that this kind of network can't be built in Web2 because it requires token incentives.
But the facts indicate Web2 *won¡Çt* incentivize Helium because demand is low. Even with a network of 500k hotspots, revenue is nonexistent. pic.twitter.com/PkfHlvzUGI— Liron Shapira (@liron) July 26, 2022
Shapira»á¤Ï¡¢¡Ö´Êñ¤Ë¤â¤¦¤«¤ëÊýË¡¤Ë¤ÏÃí°Õ¤·¤Æ¤¯¤À¤µ¤¤¡×¡Ö¶õ¤Ã¤Ý¤ÇÃê¾ÝŪ¤ÊÏäòÃí°Õ¤·¤Æ¤¯¤À¤µ¤¤¡×¤È½Ò¤Ù¤Æ¤¤¤Þ¤¹¡£
More generally, I posit the two keys to understanding Web3 are:
1) Beware of easy money schemes
2) Beware of #HollowAbstractions
When proponents like @cdixon promise riches to come via abstract "mental models", we can gently guide them to focus on money flows and use cases.— Liron Shapira (@liron) July 26, 2022